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Today’s MLB Prop Picks: Jays Commit Robberies

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The MLB summer months are upon us and the gamer accessories market is in full swing. We dig into today’s slate and find our three favorite MLB player accessories.

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We’re busting a low-output pitcher in California, littering the market with stolen bases for the Jays and beating the books at their own game with a lower total base game.

MLB props for June 24

Picks made on 6/24/2022 11:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each selection to proceed to the full scan.

Today’s Best MLB Prop Bets

The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each regulated sports betting market.

Flexing on Flexen

Chris Flexen takes his talents on the road to Angel Stadium tonight, where the books have his strikeout total at 4.5 even paying the Under the money. It’s going to be a warm night at Diamond with temperatures in the 80s and a light wind blowing toward right center field. Ball Park Buddy projects it as the best home run conditions of the day, which isn’t good news for the Seattle starter.

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Flexen has a below-average 1.24 HR/9, and with his high flyball rate (46.6%), the environment will work against him, which should help make him an abbreviated start for the low pitcher. withdrawal.

The right-hander has a 6.47 K/9 and a K% of 16.6, which is on par with his BAT projections for the season. On the road, he only has 23 Ks in 37 innings for a 5.9 K/9. Opponents are hitting a crisp .271 against Flexen.

That number may be more reflective of the Angels’ high strikeout rate, but with yesterday off and Mike Trout enjoying two full days off, this should be a solid lineup. The Angels reached it for six hits and two runs in 5 innings 1-3 in Flexen’s last start, which was Game 1 of a doubleheader and featured an easier formation in Los Angeles.

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Chris Flexon prop pick: less than 4.5 strikeouts (+100)

Covers MLB betting analysis

Stolen Basic Smorgasbord

Adrian Houser projects himself as one of the best pitchers today to fly against and we’re looking at many base props stolen in Toronto as a result.

In his last nine starts, base runners have attempted 12 hits against the right-hander and hit 10 times. They haven’t been speedsters either – as JT Realmuto stole a pair of sacks against Houser three starts ago.

Stolen base props are primarily priced based on offense frequency, giving bettors a +EV when we find a good stolen base pitcher against a team that is not in the Top 10 Stolen Bases – and that’s what we have tonight.

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We can split a unit and throw away the longer odds today, as prices are definitely worth lowering. DraftKings has four Toronto players available, and their odds are the longest in any book. Teoscar Hernandez (+1,200 at DraftKings; +950 at bet365), Raimel Tapai (+800), Santiago Espinal (+1,100 at DraftKings; +900 at bet365) and Bo Bichette (+900 at DraftKings; +850 at bet365) .

These four batters are in the Top 5 stolen bases for Toronto. At 0.25 units per, the longest play (Hernandez +1,200) would net +2.25 units while the shortest (Tapai +800) would net +1.25 units.

It’s always nice when we can line up our games with Derek Carty and the BAT X Release Show.

DraftKings and 0.25 units per set.

Moulting Eddy

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With Mookie Betts injured, Dave Roberts had to use career minor leaguer Eddy Alvarez in right field, and now with the addition of Trayce Thompson, it’s a full-fledged squad situation. However, the books rate Alvarez’s prop deals as if he’s going to get a full line of at-bats — and he probably won’t.

BAT pitched him for less than three plate appearances today and he was pinch hit 70 percent of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher. The peloton situation is legit and ultimately Alvarez is not a good hitter to start with.

He’s 3 for 19 this season with six strikeouts and zero walks, and has played more than 500 games in the minors compared to 47 games (120 at bats) in MLB. In the 11 games he’s pitched this season, he’s gotten zero hits in nine of them, but somehow the books give us more money for hits sure under 0.5 or total goals.

His defense probably won’t allow him to be at bat more either.

An adventure into right field for Eddy Alvarez, who drops a routine fly ball. Losing Betts on offense is a blow, but replacing his defense could be the biggest problem. — Juan Toribio (@juanctoribio) June 19, 2022

There’s probably a day or two left before the books adjust that number, because the pinch chance is far too high to get those incredible odds on a bad hitter.

+125 on bet365)

Talking MLB

Did you know that if you played today’s MLB props, you could win $35.00 on a $10 bet (not including stolen basic props)?

Use our MLB bet calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential gains.

This article originally appeared on Covers.comRead the full article here


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